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I've done professional coding, and I also doubt. AI will be very helpful, but people still fail to recognise that there are necessary human elements in a coding chain, because feedback loops, understanding the full context of requirements, going back for clarification on certain elements where we recognise there'll be ambiguity, anticipating shortfalls, factoring in wider societal conditions etc. will always be necessary to do a good job of it, and AI is a very long way from being able to do those things because it requires a much fuller and continuously updated understanding of human existence.
I don't doubt AI will (and does) improve the amount coders can output, or let people code up small projects themselves. But this is also true of the continuous development of modern coding languages and tools, Python is almost natural english, and we don't have to do stuff like write trash collectors in assembly anymore.