this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2024
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chapotraphouse

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This poll is wild. Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+. A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.

Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.

https://subium.com/profile/rickywlmsbong.bsky.social/post/3kvcydtkdos2q

Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May | Fox News

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[–] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 4 points 3 months ago

Feels outlierish to me just given what we've seen consistently for the past several months and I can't point to something either candidate has done that would be a cause for such a shift. Unless the conviction really matters that much to people, which I guess it might? A complete collapse would be a good way to describe such a shift but again, where's the cause. The economy is still shit and worsening, Israel and Ukraine are both disasters, big rightward turn in Europe, I just don't see it.