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There's an awful lot of people who also simply won't vote for someone in Biden's physical condition. Don't even need to replace him with someone progressive. Most of his voters are "blue no matter who" people who wouldn't care if he was replaced.
I think the numbers of those two groups are significantly different. There are a number of moderate Republicans who will vote for Biden but wouldn't vote for someone like Sanders or AOC.
There are no moderate Republicans. Anyone who calls themselves a Republican in 2024 is a fascist, whether intentionally or not makes no practical difference. They will never ever vote for a Democrat. Calling them reachable voters is so hilariously out of touch that it makes me wonder where you've been the last 8 years.
I know quite a number of them. My company is overall pretty conservative, with lots of ex military. Many folks are lifelong Republicans but have adamantly said they won't vote for Trump.
I hope you're right about that but I'll be legitimately shocked if that turns out to be true to any significant degree.
There aren’t many, but I can name at least a few like Tim Miller, Adam Kitzinger, Geoff Duncan, and Sarah Longwell.
Enough to make a big swing politically? Maybe not. But they are out there.
Biden being replaced by a progressive like AOC or Sanders isn't even remotely likely though, which is why I didn't mention all of the people who won't vote if they're not motivated to who'd come out for someone like AOC/Sanders/Warren/etc. And replace him with a "moderate" who didn't support Israel, and you'd get a lot more votes from people who are alienated by that issue.
Like who are you thinking?