Considering the awesome replicative capabilities of bacteria, 99% killrate is actually pretty shit.
this post was submitted on 18 Aug 2023
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Yeah. But, considering the geological epochs of time required to evolve from bacteria/fungi/protists into complex macroscopic life the impact is unimaginably large.
Sure. But considering the astronomical scales of time required for solid planets and matter to emerge, a few geological epochs are child's play.
Weβve only got a few of those epochs left before the sun gets too old and starts melting the planet.
Maybe, just maybe, a new kind of anxious, rock throwing monkey will evolve in just enough time to realize the overwhelming and existential dread of inevitable solar consumption.
Well... it's not like the so-called primitive lifeforms have stopped evolving since some of them had success with multicellularity. They'd have a massive head start retrying that.
My guess is, Earth could squeeze another attempt at intelligent life in before the sun crashes the party. No pressure, tho.
The problem is weβve done an excellent job depleting a lot of the easily accessible resources, so even when our replacements come along, theyβre probably going to have a hard time getting to where we are in such a short time.
500My is enough time to form new deposits of coal and oil. Plate tectonics and erosion are going to make more minerals accessible over time, too. And let's not forget these strange carbon rich mixed-ore deposits with quartz beads and fossilized Nokias sprinkled throughout.
thats sadly pretty accurate
Nice of shell to be honest about it at least.