this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2025
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It is. But i think the actual inflection point is being able to take on and defeat the US (and whatever other regional us ally) military head on with a high degree of certainty. Because with the current behavior of the US a more aggresive china leveraging its economic and industrial and financial superiority will very likely lead to a military confrontation. So chinese superiority must also be concrete in military capabilities as well. At least as far as tech and force generation and supperiority in SEA and up to Guam. Its likely that the US cant be kicked out of asia and Chinas backyard, and the reality of power in the erea cant permanently be changed to Chinas favor to a significant degree unless the US embarrassiny loses the war they or taiwn will start.
That inflection point based on current trends most likely will happen within the next 7-8 years. I personaly wait for a china that has completed its current energy and military revolution and then judge its assertiveness or lack ther off regarding the US empire.