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Between that, his US lap dog Trump looking like he's going to lose the elections badly, and Ukraine taking control of more Russian territory in a week than they have been able to take from Ukraine in months, Putin is definitely not sleeping well right now.
Nobody thought Trump would win the first time, Ukraine is still in rough shape, and this could be a new way to avoid sanctions. I like the optimism, but there are reasons to be skeptical.
Thanks for keeping it real. We can celebrate the wins but absolutely cannot become complacent.
This is emphatically false. I knew Trump had a chance, and so did countless others. I voted for Hillary despite really disliking her because of this.
Only idiotic democrats were overconfident enough to think he couldn't win.
I also thought there was a good chance he could win. I hoped he wouldn't, but I sure didn't think it was even close to an impossibility.
As long as the Electoral College exists, there remains an almost 1 in 5 chance that the will of the American people will be overturned.
Sure, I’ll admit it. Of course I voted and encouraged anyone to, but the guy was a long time real estate con man known for not paying his vendors and for questionably complex tax avoidance. He bankrupted a casino, twice, and was known for a gold toilet. His biggest claim to fame was a huge misplaced ego. Have you listened to his speeches? How could anyone have taken his candidacy seriously, voted for him, expected him to win?
I prefer to think of it as giving a naive amount of credit to my fellow voters. They must have been “breaking shit” out of frustration and would vote seriously in the actual election. Nope
The latest national numbers I saw was Harris 48 / Trump 47. That's not "Trump looking like he's going to lose badly".
Well, there's no way he's going to lose gracefully
(I know that's not how you meant it)
I'm honestly quite concerned that his cronies might actually succeed in stealing the election this time around.
They learned from their mistakes.
Can we agree on him not being capable of doing anything gracefully? 😁
his US lap dog Trump looking like he’s going to lose the elections badly
Eh, we'll see. Trump's "crushing defeat" of Hilary came down to 80k votes in three states. Biden's "decimation" of Trump was an even-thinner 40k votes across a slightly different mix of three states.
Dems love to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Just ask OG Tankie Michael Dukakis, Professional Wife-Kisser Al Gore, and Future First Woman President Hilary Clinton. All three gave up wide margins in the last few weeks of the race.
Would be nice to see Dems run up Reagan/LBJ-esque margins in 2024, but even the best polls still have Kamala in an electoral dead heat despite being miles ahead in the popular vote. She could very easily get Bush v Gore'd in some swing state with a red governor like Georgia or North Carolina or Nevada.
It's not just that Dems have to win by +5% to make sure the Electoral College matches the popular vote, either. Now it almost has to be +7% to +10% to keep Republican election officials from contesting the result and it mattering in the end.
The Electoral College was bad enough. Its only justification is "whelp, them the rules". Now Republicans made up a new set of rules and expect us to follow them.
OG Tankie Michael Dukakis
I was too young to have memories of the Dukakis run. Was he actually a tankie in the Hexbear sense, or are you just referencing that picture of him riding a tank?
Yes, DO NOT GET COMFY, VOTE NO MATTER WHAT.
Now that I got that out of the way, yes yes yes, it can always be close and I think it will be just like it was close even in 20 goddamn 20, but here's the thing.
Since the 2020 election:
I'm happy to provide sources on any of the above points :)
This is no problem for Russia since their economy is booming! As the tankies on Lenny repeatedly has reminded me, sanctions has no effect att all!
Who's Lenny?
The Russian version of Lemmy
...or auto correct 😁
The guitarist from Notörhead
For some reason it's really hard to teach Gboard not to autocorrect Lemmy to Lenny.
They started buying weapons from N Korea with goats. Nothing signifies a strong economy like hocking food.
War Economy is still economy. Right? RIGHT?!
laughs in American post-WW2 propaganda
I assure you that a handful of well-positioned arms dealers in Russia are getting extraordinarily wealthy. I just wouldn't want to be one of the kids of a 20-something young man who has been shipped to the front right now, cause they're growing up broke as shit.
The slow-moving dildo of sanctions rarely comes lubed.
Most be really bad now when China stop helping them lol
Yeah China was staunchly neutral about this war and I suspected was subtly making it worse/prolonging it to keep the west distracted, wasting money, and divided while they put pressure on Taiwan and other interests.
But this is weird. I hope they aren't doing this to keep funds in the country for their own eminent war.
Maybe China just got sick of Russian checks bouncing. They weren't helping Russia because they like each other.
Well they do kinda "like" each other in that they rely on each other. They make trades with each other and their economies rely on each other. That will affect China. These are the types of reasons we are helping Ukraine, its not like we "liked" them or that geopolitics is ever based on "liking" per se. Anyway, it's super weird.
There is a rumor that a coup had placed Xi under house arrest and had silently taken over the country a few weeks ago. Normally rumors don’t mean anything in most countries. But this is China where anyone speaking out against their leader would mean you’d get “disappeared”.
Supposedly the coup plotters don’t like the direction China has taken and want a return to good relations with the West when everyone was making money.
Moving away from relations with Russia could be a sign of this.
Those rumours have been around for years, every time he drops out of public view for a while
The rumour of coups against Xi always comes and goes. There was rumour of Xi being arrested as well during COVID.
Between this and the looming collapse of the Russian rail network (due to lack of maintenance and supply chain issues for rolling stock parts), it’s finally looking really good for Ukraine. Now we just need Kamala to win so that they keep getting supplies for the campaign.
If everything goes right, Ukraine could topple the Putin regime. Kind of crazy to think about right now though.
We must never forget how much it matters to understand that the war is against the Russian government and that us and the Russian people are the victims of that government.
Though times ahead for them. It took some time, but maybe we are at least close to the end now.
I don't have a Chinese Riker, sorry.
I tried to make one, but ironically, all the famous Chinese trombone players have copyright protection on their images, so I couldn't.
But.....but....but we are besties, Xi jinping ? - Putin probably
Something's happening in China. There's talks that Xi doesn't appear on official documents anymore.
Maybe a soft coup happened or similar.
That's a pretty bold statement. Do you have a source?
Maybe I shouldn't have said that, since there obviously isn't an official source on it, just some YouTube channels reporting about China that claim it.
Well. They're claiming it for two years already, but this time seems different.
So it's not to be taken seriously and is just a gut feeling fueled by the YouTube algorhythms and news like this post.
I suppose time will tell.
Wow, tough break guys. I'd offer to help you out, but all I've got is half a roll of quarters and I need to use that for laundry. Good luck though.
so there's a hole in the market and I can make a lot of money?