this post was submitted on 19 May 2025
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Or perhaps the end of the beginning, if you're a little more pessimistic.


Image is from this Bloomberg article, from which I also gathered some of the information used in the preamble.


While Trump was off in the Middle East in an incompetent attempt to solve a geopolitical and humanitarian crisis, China has been doing something much more productive.

Chinese officials, including Xi Jinping, had a summit with CELAC (a community of 33 Latin American and Caribbean countries). There, he promised investment, various declarations of friendship, and visa-free entry for 30 days for citizens of Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru and Uruguay. Lula signed over 30 agreements with China. Colombia is joining the New Development Bank and hopes to gain the money for a 120-kilometer railway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific coasts as an alternative route to the Panama Canal. Even Argentina, ruled by arch-libertarian and arch-dipshit (but I repeat myself) Milei, was uncharacteristically polite with China as he secured a currency swap renewal to shore up their international reserves.

It wouldn't really be correct to say that Latin America is "siding with China over the US" - leaders in the region will continue to make many deals with America for the foreseeable future, and even Trump's bizarre economic strongman routine won't make them break off economic and diplomatic relations. What's significant here is that despite increasing American pressure for those leaders to break off all ties with China, few appear to be listening - and given that China is perhaps the most important economy on the planet right now, that is a very predictable outcome.

As the current American empire takes actions to try and avoid their doom, those very actions only guarantee it. As Latin America grows ever more interconnected with China and continues to develop, America will grow ever more panicked and demanding, and this feedback loop will - eventually - result in the death of the Monroe Doctrine.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 35 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

Russia just launched one of the largest large scale air attacks of the entire Ukraine war a few hours ago, after yesterday's attack involving 14 ballistic missiles (Iskander-M/KN-23) and 250 Geran/Shahed drones and decoys.

Tonight's attack involved the use of 9 Tu-95M and 3 Tu-160 strategic bombers launching Kh-101 subsonic cruise missiles, Su-57 stealth aircraft launching Kh-69 stealth subsonic cruise missiles, ships in the black sea launching dozens of Kalibr cruise missiles, potentially dozens of Iskander M, Kn-23 and Iskander-1000 ground launched ballistic missiles, along with the usual Geran/Shahed drones and decoys. So a massive attack. No Kinzhal air launched ballistic missiles from MiG-31K aircraft, preliminary reports of long range ballistic missile strikes beyond the range of the usual Iskander M suggest that Iskander-1000 has taken up the role usually fulfilled by the Kinzhal.

The air raid is still continuing, with Tu-22M3 bombers launching Kh-32/22 supersonic cruise missiles.

There has been a large redeployment and repositioning of Russian Air Force and Ministry of Defence transport aircraft, flying away from Moscow during the Russian attack. Ukraine also launched a drone attack on Moscow, so it's likely to do with that.

Amk mapping telegram, provides a good English translation of Russian and Ukrainian sources

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 46 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

I spoke to some people working in executive positions for small to medium-sized Danish naval contractors recently. They told me that five years ago all the people from the industry were gathered by the navy for meetings on constructing new patrol ships. Many people drew large salaries for going to a lot of meetings. Nothing has been built yet. Now they're starting over from scratch, this time not just to build patrol ships but to build an entire new navy. Many people are drawing large salaries to go to a lot of meetings again.

The regime wants to build the new navy domestically. However, and these executives were very aware of this, the capacity to build large ships doesn't exist in the west anymore. The large shipyards have all been closed down and converted to other uses and even though Denmark still has a capacity for maritime engineering, design and architecture, the skilled workers needed to actually build the ships are not there anymore. And even if they were, nobody would want to pay a couple of hundred of them the salaries they would have to. There's a reason why ship building was outsourced in the first place.

The regime plans to get around this by letting a hundred subcontractors bloom, each building parts of the new ships in different locations. Then all the parts are going to be gathered in the harbour of Esbjerg and welded together there. The executives didn't think much of that idea. They thought that the way to get around having to employ 300 ship builders is to sprinkle the magic fairy dust of technology on the new naval shipyard, somehow using robotics and the line to reduce the number of workers to a hundred.

I don't think their idea of robotic domestic shipyards is that much less delusional than the one-piece-at-the-time scheme imagined by the regime. As if Asian shipyards were not already using robotics where possible. Also, unlike the west, China and other Asian countries have an actual shipbuilding industry that can be leveraged to develop new fancy high-tech solutions, the west doesn't.

[–] trompete@hexbear.net 11 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

I would like a row of sittings ducks please.

Best I can do are sitting duck related meetings with expensive consultants.

Perfect!

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 6 points 2 hours ago

Don't worry, the regime has found a way to actually get things done this time. When announcing their military "acceleration fund" earlier this year they said that in order to speed up things they would begin to just buy stuff without doing too much work to make sure that they were getting the right stuff for the right price. "Mistakes are going to be made" they said.

Meanwhile every non-armed branch of the state is routinely expected to do more with less and spend their money more efficiently every year.

[–] john_brown@hexbear.net 39 points 13 hours ago (3 children)

Interesting interview with a Russian drone developer

Guy's got a particular perspective (small Russian military drone manufacturer who wants to be better integrated into the Russian MIC) but very interesting overall. He talks about tactics such as using a fiber optic drone to hit the jamming source of an incursion, be it a backpack kit or vehicle with the EW hardware, then using cheaper radio drones to begin picking apart the rest of the force. He also talks about downsides of fiber optics - in particular light you can see the cables and track them to their source from a recon drone. You can also put a laser into a terminated optical drone's cable and use that to track it back to the source on the ground. Lots of interesting stuff.

[–] blame@hexbear.net 9 points 6 hours ago

i wonder how well this works when the environment is basically polluted with these lines though. It's probably effective if there aren't very many of them in the area.

[–] Le_Wokisme@hexbear.net 16 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

gotta put a spool on the other end and retract the cable after the drone detonates

[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 14 points 11 hours ago (3 children)

I'm not sure this is possible. One little tree branch or pile of rocks is all it takes to make a fishing line unrecoverable, and that's on the scale of meters, not kilometers.

[–] SchillMenaker@hexbear.net 14 points 11 hours ago

Cut it off and tie the end to a bottle rocket after you're done with it

[–] Le_Wokisme@hexbear.net 12 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

if it rips in no-mans land you're good to go, but that bottle rocket idea is better.

[–] KuroXppi@hexbear.net 14 points 11 hours ago

Gotta put them on a really long bungie cord so when they explode they hang in the air for a second before going boioioioing and shooting back the way they came leaving a ball of dust that says 'poof'

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[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 35 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago)

CNTE protests in Mexico City: What are the teachers asking for, what have they been given, and how are the negotiations going? Hexbear Post soviet-chad

Tensions between teachers from the National Coordinator of Education Workers (CNTE) and the government have reached a critical point. After a week of protests, including the blockade of Mexico City's main thoroughfares and the closure of access to the National Palace prior to President Claudia Sheinbaum's morning press conference, the teachers' union remains steadfast in demanding the repeal of the 2007 ISSSTE Law. Meanwhile, authorities have limited themselves to describing this reform implemented by Felipe Calderón as an "injustice." However, they maintain that there is insufficient funding to completely reverse it or implement a new pension system under the conditions demanded by the CNTE.

Venezuela’s 2025 Legislative and Regional Elections: A Quick Guide - Venezuelanalysis Hexbear Post maduro-coffee

Venezuelans return to the polls on Sunday, May 25, to elect a new National Assembly, governors for 24 states, and regional legislative councils. This is the 32nd electoral event under the Bolivarian Revolution.

With their respective terms ending on January 5, 2026, the Venezuelan Constitution determines that a new National Assembly (AN) and regional authorities must be chosen this year. The unusually early date leaves room for other elections later in the year, including municipal contests and a potential constitutional reform.

In addition, the electorate will also pick governors for the 24 states and 260 members of regional legislative councils. Regional officials serve four-year terms.

[–] LoveYourself@hexbear.net 59 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (1 children)

According to the PFLP, the enemy camp is a triad: The Israeli Entity (Zionist movement), global imperialism, and Arab reactionaries. This, the Front argued, was a precise diagnosis of the conflict. Consequently, it maintained that targeting the enemy should not be restricted by geography, since the enemy itself had made the entire world a battlefield.

Behind the Enemy Everywhere: Return of Palestinian External Ops? by Moussa al-Sadah

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 15 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago) (2 children)

That is essentially a call for 9/11 style actions

The question that needs to be answered before considering that is whether or not doing such a thing will harden global support for Israel destroying Palestine completely, or whether it will scare global supporters into wanting it over so such attacks do not happen. It could go either way.

With that said though... Does hardening of their support even matter? They already support it completely.

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 3 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

That is essentially a call for 9/11 style actions

Couldn't it just as well be a call for military operations against genocide-related infrastructure outside of Palestine, such as arms manufacturers or zionist "diplomatic missions"?

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 1 points 23 minutes ago* (last edited 23 minutes ago)

Yes part of it is but naming global imperialism screams "finance" at me which just brings WTC and wall street to mind.

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 13 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago) (1 children)

This is frustrating to read (the PFLP statement) because the idea that regional partners of Israel (the GCC, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Azerbaijan) needed to start paying a price for their support of Israel, explicit or implicit, seemed obvious 12-18 months ago. The Biden admin was very clear that they didn't want this to escalate into a regional conflict, and the Resistance met them on those terms instead of forcing the US/EU into the exact situation they didn't want. Arab/Muslim countries that had signed the Abraham Accords and were housing US bases should have been made to pay cost, and they were let off the hook instead.

MBS can give lip service to a Palestinian state all he pleases, but when he allows US naval vessels that attack the Resistance to sit off his coast and resupply from his ports, that makes him an ally of Israel. When that British manlet who rules Jordan shoots down Iranian missiles fired at Israel, that makes him an ally of Israel. When the UAE acts as a makeshift land bridge for Israeli logistics and houses US military bases, that makes them an ally of Israel. When Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan supply Israel with oil and Turkey acts as Israel's gas station, that makes them allies of Israel.

The Western elite only understand money. If you want to make them hurt, you hurt their bank accounts. Europe is pretty much incapable of fight any war right now, and any expansion of the conflict in the Middle East would have stretched the US very thin supporting both Israel and a GCC that can barely fight as it is. The only reason any of these people are saying anything now is because the images of starvation lay bare how full of shit they are in a way that actually might give them political ossues. And I frankly can't shake the feeling that liberals only give a shit now because Palestine seems like a hopeless cause, similar to the argument laid out in that Red Sails essay about the influence of Christianity on Western Marxism.

Maybe it's still worth making someone pay a price, especially after they all just spent turns sucking Donald Trump off on public television and he just fucked over Palestine in return for it, but it's frustrating to even think about it now.

[–] SevenSkalls@hexbear.net 7 points 7 hours ago

Ya, seems a little late now that Syria has fallen into a pro-Israel war zone.

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