this post was submitted on 28 Sep 2024
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Showerthoughts

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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. A showerthought should offer a unique perspective on an ordinary part of life.

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[–] protist@mander.xyz 196 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

Joe Biden doing some heavy lifting in this narrative as a VP and one term president. If anything, Joe Biden and Bill Clinton actually prove this point that anyone can become president, both come from very modest means.

The Bushes, however, are a dysfunctional political dynasty stretching back to senator and investment banker Prescott Bush, George HW's father, and Samuel Prescott Bush, a steel executive and industrialist, who was HW's grandfather.

Also, you left out that this is the 3rd election in a row with Trump on the ballot.

[–] meep_launcher@lemm.ee 78 points 1 month ago (1 children)

"I will have you know I'm a self made man, just like my father and his father before him"

[–] WhatAmLemmy@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

"I will have you know I'm a self made man, just like my millionaire father and his millionaire father before him"

FTFY

[–] EatATaco@lemm.ee 50 points 1 month ago (2 children)

That's the joke, but worse.

[–] InverseParallax@lemmy.world 19 points 1 month ago

You suck, McBain!

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[–] Upsidedownturtle@lemmy.world 22 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It is also just one man. No parents, siblings, children, spouses like the Bushs or Clintons. No one is getting all uppity about politicians like Glitch McConnell having decades in the senate.

[–] njm1314@lemmy.world 16 points 1 month ago

I think a lot of us are actually uppity about that

[–] tan00k@lemmy.world 7 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Also who says "anyone can become president"? Liars and the gullible, I guess

[–] Asafum@feddit.nl 5 points 1 month ago

Anyone can run for president, but corpo media will decide who can succeed :(

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[–] hesusingthespiritbomb@lemmy.world 86 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Honestly this is sort of ridiculous.

  • Biden is a Washington insider now, but that's because he had a lifetime to make something of himself. He grew up in the middle class
  • I think we can all agree Obama was an outsider without any sort of elaboration
  • Bill Clinton grew up dirt poor in a state that basically only makes the news when something stupid happens.

All three had to climb the ladder in a huge way, that simply wouldn't have been possible in a lot of other countries.

I also feel like Trump embodies the whole "anyone can be president" in his own sort of fucked up way. Trump obviously was born into immense wealth and enjoyed tremendous status, but he was in no way ever considered leadership material by America's political elite. His election was a complete "wtf" moment and wouldn't have happened in most countries. In a more rigid system we'd probably have had something like a Hillary Clinton v Jeb Bush election, which strictly speaking would have been better than what we got but also let's be real we would have all hated it.

I'm not saying America is some pure meritocracy. Bush was a third generation political dynasty member. His opponents were also pretty well connected. It's just that he's only one of several presidents to get elected in the past 30 years.

[–] turtletracks@lemmy.zip 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Something about him still winning despite losing the popular vote should've been an eye opening moment, but I guess they didn't care when it happened with Al Gore either

I was in college when this happened. Absolutely nobody thought he could win until Florida was called. Trump himself seemed mildly surprised in his victory speech.

[–] RattlerSix@lemmy.world 56 points 1 month ago (2 children)

A couple thoughts...

It is talking about President, but counts years where those names appeared on the ballot as Vice President too.

It also ignores that a lot of other people have also been on the ballots over the years.

Also, some of this is natural. When a president has an 8 year run, the Vice President is a natural person to take a shot at the presidency, so it's perfectly normal to have 12 years where the same person is on the ballot as VP then P. It's natural for this to happen more than once in a row. Whether we've had this long of a streak or not, I don't know, but I suspect we might have.

This showerthought covers 44 years. The Bushs and Clintons double dipping is 12 years worth of ballots, but the other 32 years were natural. Hilary lost when she tried to double dip so I would argue the 8 years of Dubya are really the only anomaly in actual presidencies as far as "dynasties" are concerned.

[–] lunarul@lemmy.world 13 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Also this "shower thought" is word for word one of the popular posts on lemmy from a few weeks ago.

[–] mutant_zz@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago

OP is obviously very eco-concious.. Instead of using an LLM to generate crap (and burn half the Amazon while doing it) they just recycled

[–] Kecessa@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 month ago (1 children)

And Hillary is a Clinton through marriage so technically it shouldn't count.

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[–] frazw@lemmy.world 36 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I don't think it's really fair to include "Biden" alongside "Bush" and "Clinton" and NOT include "Harris", just to make a point. The point is the Bush and Clinton represent two people each, a dynasty as it were. Biden is just one person. You might as well add then Harris since she has served as VP just like Biden, or Trump but I get the feeling this is intended to somehow make the statement that Harris represents a new breed of politics, a break from the old. That may or may not be true, but it doesn't hinge on this meaningless metric.

"since 1981 there has never been an election without a Bush, Clinton, Biden, Trump or Harris."

[–] HottieAutie@lemmy.dbzer0.com 4 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I think the point of the post is merely to point out that in four decades, at least one of three families has been in each election. Statistically, if candidates were freely chosen at random from the top 0.01% of Americans, that would be insanely improbable. It's pointing out that presidential elections aren't the American people picking the best person in the country for the job. There are influential factors other than who-would-be-best at face value. In other words, the people aren't given a list of American citizens with their characteristics and asked to chose the one they would prefer. The people are told to pick one from a very select few that have already been approved. Whether those candidates have climbed a ladder or been given a silver spoon is irrelevant to that point. The matter is that elections aren't entirely free in spirit.

It also serves as an argument against social mobility and merit in the USA. Dynasties are government systems in which the ultimate power stays within a family. We're told that it's because of whatever bs reason with the family being divine or superior, but the reality is that when the ultimate power rests within the same family, the people that benefit from that also stay in power. It's a system that maintains those on top on top. Having presidential dynasties shows that social mobility in the USA isn't as fluid as commonly thought.

[–] frazw@lemmy.world 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I know what the point was, but Biden is included as if he is part of some political dynasty. He was VP. A very normal situation, 19 out of 49 have run for president. It's like being promoted through the ranks until you get to the top. Isn't that kinda normal in most careers?

So why is it "insanely improbable" for Biden, someone who qualified for the job over decades, to be "chosen" as opposed to anyone else.

We aren't talking here about how much cash it requires to become president which raises the bar above most people's head.we are taking about political dynasties.

So I say again, including Biden as if it is some statistical anomaly or stranglehold on politics is disingenuous, especially if you exclude Harris.

Her situation of running for president after serving as vice president is EXACTLY the same as Biden unless you want to split hairs and say he served 2 terms and her only 1. So if you want to say Biden was given a silver spoon, so was she.

Biden is not a dynasty. But if you insist he is, so is Harris, and that makes the original premise flawed.

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[–] Maggoty@lemmy.world 30 points 1 month ago (1 children)

This isn't a shower thought, it's half baked both sides propaganda. It only works if you include VP slots and completely ignore the fact that Obama/Biden was an outsider ticket.

[–] Landsharkgun@midwest.social 19 points 1 month ago (2 children)

It not a 'both sides' thing. It's a 'fuck the rich' thing.

INB4 people try to tell me that their rich politicians are good actually.

[–] Maggoty@lemmy.world 26 points 1 month ago (2 children)

So then you'd be interested in looking up the background of Biden, Obama, and the Clintons. They're hardly from the elite. The stupid truth is we've destroyed social mobility so badly we can't conceive of a USA with good schooling and cheap college so that making it on your merit really is a thing. But their entire generation benefited from heavily subsidized college and schools. I'm not going to say they were good politicians but this idea of a dynasty on the left really doesn't track. Biden, and both Clintons worked in politics for decades before they got a shot at the highest office.

Bush on the other hand comes from a family of political elite that goes back to a World War 2 era pro fascist senator that tried (badly) to mount a coup against FDR. He spent Vietnam barely keeping his slot as a national guard pilot who never deployed because he was a bad pilot and a worse officer. Then he worked family jobs until he was airdropped in by the GOP to run for governor of Texas. And from there he ran for the Presidency.

But yeah tell me more about this attempt to conflate people who had to work their ass off with a trust fund party boy that got funded.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

And Trump is the very definition of rich elite.

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[–] meep_launcher@lemm.ee 5 points 1 month ago

I think a huge misstep of the original argument is "career politician bad". Biden is seen as a one man "dynasty" because he has ~50 years of experience. Obama and Clinton are only seen as dynasties because they had active First Ladies so there's a "power couple" image.

I think it's fair to say there are political dynasties- the Kennedy's, the Bushes- and it makes sense that they will tend to happen naturally. If my dad was president of the United States, at the age of 12 I'd have a much better understanding of the Washington Political Machine than most people.

Usually when we think of "Outsider" candidates, we think of people who have 0 government experience who enter the arena. Notice that Trump isn't mentioned in the post. Ofc Trump was as embedded in the Washington establishment as much as anyone else when he ran in 2016, having ran for president previously and using the ol' "wine and dine" method generously to help him get a leg up in business.

I personally don't think it's a bad thing to have a ton of experience in getting a lot of people to do one thing together- oddly enough that's an INCREDIBLY HARD THING TO DO. We need all sorts of people in politics in order to represent the people accurately. The Tim Walz's and AOC's in congress brought so much to the table- they know what it's like to grow up as the everyday American. The Biden's and the Pelosi's have been removed from that world for so long it's understandable they might not have the most accurate picture of modern American life, but they do have the deep understanding for how to get things done. In Biden's single term, he has outpaced most presidents in getting legislation passed. I remember being optimistic in 2020 hoping Biden would be a modern LBJ, and by gum I think ol' Joe did it.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 13 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Carter, Clinton, Obama, and Biden did not come from riches.

[–] 2pt_perversion@lemmy.world 24 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

That 11x election cycles with at least one of three last names on the ballot is only a record tie.

We had John Adams x4, George Clinton x2, DeWitt Clinton x1, James Monroe x2, John Quincy Adams x2 also a total of 11x.

Roosevelts were on the ballot 8x election cycles but the gap years screwed them. And they were close to uniting with the Nixon 5x streak also with some gaps. And then after one cycle right into the Bush Sr streak. If things shook out just a bit different there was a 19x streak in the cards.

[–] batmaniam@lemmy.world 14 points 1 month ago

No George Clinton was in parliament.

[–] FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world 20 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It pays to have an electorate that can't think their way past a brand name.

[–] Blackmist@feddit.uk 5 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I saw a quote the other week that stuck with me.

It was from the widow of the guy who got shot at that Trump rally. Biden had apparently offered to speak to her, but she didn't want to because her husband was "a devout republican".

Politics and religion have merged over there. People are making this shit their whole identity.

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[–] ininewcrow@lemmy.ca 17 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Anyone that can be funded endlessly by a corporate and capitalist elite can become president.

If billionaires and corporate leaders decided tomorrow that you should be president, they could dump millions of dollars and a few years worth of hired professional help and they'd make you president.

It's not the will of an individual person or a personality that makes a president ... it's whichever group of wealthy backers who decide to fund the campaign ... after that it is j just a matter of how much money they are willing to spend to make it happen.

[–] Carrolade@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Tell that to Hilary Clinton.

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[–] leadore@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago

That's what Michael Bloomberg thought and he was wrong, too.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 17 points 1 month ago

Overall kind of a lot of turnover actually...only one Clinton became president, and he was never VP. The other Clinton got beat out by the first black president for the nomination in 08, and then she lost to some guy who had zero political experience.

If anything, we learned that being black doesn't exclude you from being president, being female doesn't exclude you from being a major party nominee, and you can still become president even running for office for the first time at age 70. The promise of the statement is more true than ever.

[–] GraniteM@lemmy.world 16 points 1 month ago

"Anyone can become President."

Me, thinking about Abraham Lincoln or Bill Clinton: "Yeah!"

"Anyone can become President."

Me, aware of Donald Trump, with Tucker Carlson waiting in the wings: "Oh no!"

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 13 points 1 month ago

Not a shower thought, we all saw the headline last month. And the Biden thing doesn't make any sense anyway, he's one person.

[–] SnokenKeekaGuard@lemmy.dbzer0.com 9 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Didn't say anyone could be the president of the US. There's a whole world out there

[–] misterdoctor@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago

And soon, I shall be President of the World

[–] Regrettable_incident@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Tbh I feel like trump counts in your list. The trumps may not be a wealthy political dynasty but trump managed to manipulate the media for decades and that works too.

It's not true that anyone can get elected president, but anyone with enough money and recognition has a good chance.

[–] lars@lemmy.sdf.org 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I thought so too. Until I saw Bloomberg try.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 4 points 1 month ago

Jeb! is a hole in the theory, not every major states governor who is the son of a former president can become president themselves.

[–] masquenox@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

They say “anyone can become president”,

Anyone that believes that probably also believes that a glass slipper can magically turn you into royalty.

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[–] DarkCloud@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Trump is going to steal it. He's going to do fraud in front of everyone.

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[–] Taiatari@lemmynsfw.com 4 points 1 month ago

That's just depressing.

[–] fl42v@lemmy.ml 3 points 1 month ago

Everyone is anyone, but some are anyoner. Or something, idk

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