this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2024
-51 points (11.9% liked)

politics

19144 readers
3103 users here now

Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!

Rules:

  1. Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.

Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.

Example:

  1. Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
  2. Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
  3. No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
  4. Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
  5. No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning

We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.

All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.

That's all the rules!

Civic Links

Register To Vote

Citizenship Resource Center

Congressional Awards Program

Federal Government Agencies

Library of Congress Legislative Resources

The White House

U.S. House of Representatives

U.S. Senate

Partnered Communities:

News

World News

Business News

Political Discussion

Ask Politics

Military News

Global Politics

Moderate Politics

Progressive Politics

UK Politics

Canadian Politics

Australian Politics

New Zealand Politics

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
all 21 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] SatansMaggotyCumFart@lemmy.world 28 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

Five posts in thirteen minutes in the same community?

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 12 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Point of comparison: For the communities I moderate I try to keep it around 3 per DAY that I submit for fear I'll dominate the conversation.

[–] SatansMaggotyCumFart@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

They’ve had about seventeen in the last day and are in the comment sections riling up the community the whole time.

I’ve never seen someone post so many comments in their own posts and 90% are bad faith copypastas.

[–] MegaUltraChicken@lemmy.world 18 points 1 month ago (2 children)

They're just sooooo interested in these articles, it's totally innocent friend. Thanks!

[–] Theprogressivist@lemmy.world 14 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

What? I'm just posting political articles on a political sub and following guidelines. If you have an issue with that, you can message the mod team.

[–] Tolookah@discuss.tchncs.de 9 points 1 month ago

I am glad we can have a civil conversation about this, friend. Speed reading like that is quite a skill.

[–] Myxomatosis@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I thought this dude was just a Shill Stein supporter not a MAGA freak.

[–] MapleEngineer@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago

I have them tagged as a Trump Propagandist.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 13 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Of the 5 currently undecided states, Trump needs 3-4 to win. PA + 2 to 3 more.

Harris needs 1. PA. That's it. Even if she loses PA, there's a path to win with 2 states or 3 states.

I made a whole comment on it here:

https://lemmy.world/comment/12782790

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 6 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

538 is not a reliable source since Nate Silver left. He's written about why, but that's not the point here.

Michigan and Wisconsin are still very much up in the air. Most polls have them within the margin of error. That means they could very easily turn out red, even without anything being wrong with the polling method. The other states are even closer.

It's a terrifyingly close election, and even the smallest influence could change the result. What does the weather look like on election day? How did your portfolio do the day before? How long are the lines?

These could alter the course of history, even if we ignore things like more hurricanes in swing states.

Harris still has a slight edge, but it's barely above 50/50. Get out and vote (even in a safe red/blue state), vote the whole ballot, and do whatever you can to get others to vote as well. Ideally, vote early so nothing can interfere at the last minute.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

538 is an aggregate.

If you look at the polling page for Michigan:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

Harris wins 4 out of the 7 most recent polls. Trump wins 2. One was a tie.

Right now, things are looking good in MI and the 3rd party vote is right at 0 to 1% as predicted.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 month ago

Yes, and Harris by 1.7 (as it shows currently) is still within the margin of error. Assuming a 3% margin of error (common, but I didn't look at the details for any of these polls), anything from Harris by 4.7 to Trump by 1.3 is perfectly in line with predictions.

In human terms, Harris has a very narrow lead, which could easily disappear when people actually go to the polls.

[–] smokebuddy 3 points 1 month ago

Mark Halperin is a gross pervert, glad only newsmax will continue to hire him.

[–] just_another_person@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

What everyone is not taking into account is that every state and local election since the overturning of Rowe has skewed pro-Democrat and outside the margin of error. I expect the same from the Presidential election alone. I'm more worried about what's happening with Congress.

Just remember folks, this analyst has been wrong before,

He would also immediately endorse Harris as his replacement, a move that contradicted Halperin's reporting.

Newsweek - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)Information for Newsweek:

MBFC: Right-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source

Search topics on Ground.Newshttps://www.newsweek.com/republicans-believe-election-effectively-over-trump-will-win-analyst-1965956#:~:text=A%20significant%20number%20of%20Republicans%20have%20declared%20the
Media Bias Fact Check | bot support

[–] JeeBaiChow@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago

Ok, then let's encourage those republicans to sit this one out then. Commanding lead and all...