3 out of 3 will probably vote for trump in the general election.
this post was submitted on 04 Jun 2024
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Yup, exactly. That's the question that actually matters. Tons of Republicans were very vocally against Trump in 2016 too, but fell in line as soon as he was named their official candidate. The Republican Party is great at unifying around candidates and messaging when it counts (probably one of their only legitimate strengths.)
Democrats fall in love. Republicans fall in line.
The problem with Democrats is that because it's a big tent, it's harder to coalesce around one or two issues. Some Democrats really care about the environment and won't come out to vote unless the candidate says they'll do right by it. Other Democrats care about prison reform and won't vote for a candidate that has a history of supporting laws that put more people into prison.
When the Republican platform is "At least we're not liberals", it's much easier to get your people out to vote.
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Loyalty is their core attribute, like hand-wringing and second-guessing is for Democrats.
Nobody changes how they vote, but turnout might be more depressed among Republicans, in which case maybe only 1 in 3 will for for trump
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There was just another poll that said only 10% of Republican voters WONT vote for trump.
So that means 23% of Republican voters dont want trump but still will vote for him.
That also means 2/3 want him flat out.
As someone who's a registered Democrat who doesn't want to vote for Biden but will still vote for him, I feel their pain.
Yep, even if he ends up in prison by some miracle.
Oh NOW they think that. It took until NOW to figure it out.
If they're still voting for him, being non preferred isn't exactly a damning opinion.
Party over country
Better headline: 2 out of 3 Republicans (the party of "Law and Order") support a candidate convicted of 34 felonies. And 3 out of 3 will still vote for him in the general election.
The original headline is just them saying I wish there was something better, but we got what we got. Which is the same thing I am saying on the left.
Doesn't matter. Get out and vote.
They'll vote for him anyway.
Some will, but some will also just not feel as engaged and stay home.
Real question is, how large a percentage of potential Trump voters will be demotivated enough to stay home, vs how many potential Biden voters are being turned off by his age and ball-less stance on the war crimes in Gaza.
Real question is, how will around 2000 people in the midwest vote? Cause that's what usually decides the outcome.
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I really think Biden is secretly more popular with Republicans than individual Republicans let on. He hasn't spoken much on abortion and queer support (kind of like it belongs in the background unseen and then we will tolerate it mentality), he wants to lock down the US-Mexico border more, and is very Zionist. He's honestly a good fit for the Republicans before Trump "consolidated" the Republicans under a[n even] crazier branch of conservatism.
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In March, the former president won enough primary races to secure the Republican nomination in the 2024 presidential election.
However, according to a survey of 1,003 Americans by Canadian polling firm Leger, Trump does not command the full support of his base and 33 percent of this demographic would have preferred another politician.
Another way of writing that 33 percent prefer another politician is that 67 percent prefer Trump. Last I checked, 67 percent support is enough to secure the Republican nomination.
Meanwhile, this proportion is higher (47 percent) among Republican voters aged 18 to 34 years old.
Again, another way of writing this is that 53 percent of Republican voters aged 18 to 34 years old support Trump. I'll double check my arithmetic, but even this seems to be enough to win primaries.
With a title like "One in three Republicans now think Donald Trump was wrong candidate choice," I would expect to see a poll which showed that fewer than "One in three Republicans" used to "think Donald Trump was wrong candidate choice." That seems like a straightforward way to make the point this article is trying to make. Yet none is provided. Instead we are treated to some general electorate polling showing some minor fluctuation and some republicans who were already critical of Trump continuing to be critical of Trump.
The centrist will to make the Republicans look better than they are is so powerful.
Those numbers are worringly low. I have been assuming that the vocal group, the ones taking to the streets with their little hats and grumpy faces, were a very verbal minority. I'd expect way more than 1/3 to prefer some other candidate. Not great.
I don't know why. These numbers are better than I expected. The GOP has become a cult like organization. Those usually don't tolerate non believers.
I'm pretty sure 'thinking' never got in the way of them voting for him before.
Something about laying in a bed you made yourself...
*peeing
Vote for biden and get trump going to jail for free!!!
Maybe, just fucking maybe... enough will attrition off to Libertarian to split the vote.
Maybe, but 2/3 is a majority.
Which means 2 out of 3 will gleefully vote for him with visible metaphorical (?) erections; the 1 out of 3 will maybe metaphorically cover up their metaphorical erections with a pillow...
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How many had their choice made for them before they even had a chance to vote in a primary?
Nikki Haley was the last to drop out on March 6th, when there were still dozens of primaries to go.
I'd love to see a national primary. But people complain... But... but... it's not fair to small candidates who can't run a national campaign...
Yeah, if you can't run a national campaign, you have no business being President either.
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meanwhile two of three republicans can still taste their colons.
when will these people pull their heads out of their asses?
But when all the choices are shit, go for the shittiest shit that ever shitted in shitstown.
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