West has the economy and the defensive geography. It is impossible for them to lose.

whoever could maintain a blockade of the others ports probably.

if I were running one of the breakaway nations, I would try to form a coalition with another one over mutual disdain for texas. decapitate it's leadership, demobilize it's law enforcement, and create a colony on it with displaced people from other areas. heavily arm them and direct them to land / resource / infrastructure grab everything.

with any luck, everybody will be so focused on that shit show, they won't notice that I have used all the gold to build a giant Colossus of myself that shoots flames and lightning bolts.

checkmate.

thry turned the US into the microsoft logo and it immediately broke

Midwest

Under that veil of Minnesota nice beats the heart of some of the most vicious and demonic creatures known to God

What is it with literally everyone from every single region in every part of the planet bragging about how many drunks there are as one of the first two things they mention about where they're from

y'all can't ALL be the drunkest mother fuckers on the planet

don't care so long as it ends in communism

Colorado and Utah will end up becoming America's Afghanistan and Utah will become the Mormon Mujahedeen.

I just hope everyone has fun

NE and West would be the only real contenders as a matter of economic power.

My bet is NE because they would be able to bribe or coerce the midwest into sharing Great lakes water, at which point the clock on the West running out of potable water would be the driving factor behind their surrender.

Southerners may have a lot of guns, but they have no where to train for war except indoor gun ranges. Whereas western blue states have a ton of public land, but most of the people there absolutely despise guns despite wanting the police and military to arrest every republican

I mean, historically most civil wars didn’t involve civilians training ahead of time. But most countries that had civil wars in the modern day weren’t as rich and privileged as Americans. A modern day american civil war will look less like Yugolavia and more like the Roof Koreans in the LA Riots - that is, a bunch of assholes shooting each other because they lack the communication and proper training (despite their ebic skills in the korean war). The exception being the mall cops that actually have time and money to “train” in the woods all day with their militias.

The South would try invading the Midwest, but end up dying from all the industrial carcinogens that Midwesterners have adapted to. Like the wildlife around Chernobyl.

Well with the west and the south splitting most of the nuke supply and the Midwest being capable of thriving in nuclear winter, it's really anyone's game. The northeast is no longer the manufactory hub it once was. Ultimately though, I think the west is set up to take home the victory with critical support and materials from China. Can't really get that anywhere else too readily.

Gonna sneak in and burn down the white house again while you are all fighting

Americans please explain to me why the midwest is called the midwest. It’s kinda in the middle, but it’s really not the west?? Why not call it the midnorth? Or northern mid?

midwest is expected to be expansionist as it needs to secure its in / export routes by taking New Orleans and securing the St Lorance river? (warm water ports)

The West. An alliance with China could be possible and supply lines to East Asia are critical. In addition there Pacific Fleet could blockade the Panama Canal and prevent any Chinese goods from getting to the other states in a reasonable amount of time. We also have a series of large mountain ranges that could slow down invasion heavily and plenty of oil, industry food and water. Plus the inevitable Capital in LA being really far away helps. The South is surrendering quickly and the Midwest becomes a grueling counterinsurgency campaign that claims tens of millions of lives but eventually ends in attrition from the Midwest due to the lack of trade and brutal Northern urban warfare.

This breakup's a little more interesting than most.

The Northeast will come out of this with a powerful Navy - but without DC and an Army to back them up I can't see them accomplishing much. But since their power is in financial institutions, is it really worth conquering them? Just let them slowly collapse like the UK.

The South has the bulk of the Army, a decent Navy, and all of the Natsec ghouls. I can see a Texas oil-powered military quickly establishing dominance - this 'aint the 1800s anymore, all of America has been de-industrialized, so the weakness that the South had in the Civil War doesn't really apply. But they would probably rather turn south and hit Mexico than tangle with the West unless their hubris is up - more on that in a moment.

The Midwest would probably become more like Canada in this scenario than Russia. They have enough manufacturing to not go down easy but I just don't see them sustaining a long war like Russia can - but the question is would conquering them be worth it when holding them would be so hard. I think the other successor states would rather just buy beer from them and leave them be.

The West ends up with most of the money, a powerful Navy, and a decent Army, so I think they're OP in this scenario. If they get put on their back foot by war they can fall back to the Rockies and defend until the end of time, which isn't an option that the South has because the Appalachians don't protect their most important states. Plus they get Alaskan oil and presumably control of America's Pacific sphere of influence? No contest tbh the West wins the only question is whether or not San Francisco has the stomach for war.

edit: oh yeah and it looks like everyone's got nukes except the Northeast lmao but I wouldn't want to bet my life on deterrence continuing to function.

The west could hold the mountain passes and remain independent if they don't win the whole thing.

Texas is fucked after one of its biannual electrical crashes so they'll be in play for like six months tops and then be a burden for whoever allies with them. Eventually Mexico takes it back.

The south continues their Civil War losing streak. The villages in Florida look like a charnel house after 2 weeks.

The north east loses Maine to Canada and maybe loses the war but nobody wants to occupy it after.

Represent.

SOYBEANS AND CORN

our enemies will crumble under the might of Papa Khan Pritzker and the midwestern horde

Kaiserreich

Could see likely a coalition of the NE, which should probably include Maryland, Delaware, and DC, plus Midwest and West Coast minus the plains and mountain states. They'd then mop the floor.

I hope rather for a draw and balkanisation.